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Oil Drops On Signs Of Slower Global Growth

October 4, 2012 Webmaster

Oil prices plunged Wednesday on more evidence of slower growth in Asia and concerns about Europe‘s ongoing financial crisis.

Benchmark oil fell $3.43 or 3.7 per cent to $88.46 per barrel in afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, which is used to price international varieties of oil, fell $2.59, or 2.3 per cent, to $108.98 a barrel in London.

China‘s services sector slowed in September. Analysts say the index was 53.7 compared with 56.3 in August. It was released just days after a survey indicated that the country’s manufacturing continues to slow.

China is the world’s second largest economy and a huge importer of commodities like oil. Slower growth in that country could cut demand for oil.

And it’s not only China. After years of rapid growth, Asia’s developing economies now face much more modest prospects, the Asian Development Bank said Wednesday in a report that slashes growth forecasts for this year and next.

The ADB said growth in developing Asia, which includes giant emerging economies such as India, China and Indonesia, will slow to 6.1 per cent this year from 7.2 per cent last year and only partly rebound to 6.7 per cent in 2013. It had previously forecast growth of 6.9 per cent for 2012 and 7.3 per cent for 2013.

The disappointing reports were overshadowing signs of improvement in US service companies, which employ nearly 90 per cent of the work force. The Institute for Supply Management says its index rose in September at the fastest pace since March.

Meanwhile, the US government says crude inventories fell slightly last week but remain 8.4 per cent above year-ago levels. Gasoline supplies rose.

In other energy futures trading in New York, natural gas is down 16 cents, or 4.6 per cent, to $3.37 per 1,000 cubic feet, a day after hitting a high for the year.

Heating oil has fallen 5 cents to $3.07 per gallon, and wholesale gasoline has dropped 7 cents, or 2.5 per cent, to $2.80 per gallon.

– AP

Oil higher for 2nd day, still buoyed by Fed

September 17, 2012 Webmaster

Oil rose for a second day on the back of the Federal Reserve‘s aggressive plan to boost the US economy. More gains are expected, but that might not translate into a spike in prices at the gas station.

After earlier topping US$100 for the first time since May, benchmark oil was up 72 cents to US$99.03 per barrel in midday trading in New York.

Analysts say the Fed’s plan to keep interest rates at extraordinarily low rates into 2015 gives investors the incentive to put their money into riskier assets like stocks and commodities. The expectation that the Fed’s moves will help the economy should also boost oil prices because demand for energy should pick up.

But the higher oil and other commodities rise, the greater the chance they’ll curtail consumer spending in an economy where unemployment is stuck above 8 per cent. That’s why analysts think the gains should be limited.

“Higher commodity prices are going to put a dent in spending as they give consumers pause when they’re spending more at the (grocery) store or the gas pump,” said Andrew Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.

An increase in the price of oil usually means a rise in pump prices. But fundamentals favor a decline in the price of gasoline, said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service. The end of summer driving season means less demand for gas. And refiners are about to switch to making winter blends, which are cheaper than summer blends formulated to cut down on pollutants.

Kloza thinks gas might rise a penny or two from its current average of US$3.87 per gallon, but should decline during the period between late September and Thanksgiving. He sees gasoline falling to between US$3.50 and US$3.75 per gallon in October.

The wild card for oil is the unfolding unrest in the oil-rich Middle East. Protesters angry over an anti-Muslim film ridiculing the Prophet Muhammad began assaulting a string of US embassies in the region four days ago.

Brent crude, which is used to price a number of international types of oil, rose 74 cents to US$116.62 in London. Kloza said an escalation in the Middle East situation could push Brent up as high as US$125 per barrel and the US benchmark as high as US$120. That would limit the decline in gasoline prices, he said.

News Oil

Oil prices fall on Isaac watch

August 27, 2012 jrobinson

NEW YORK – Oil prices dropped Friday amid renewed talk about the release of strategic reserves and as traders kept an eye on a tropical storm that could disrupt offshore operations in the Gulf of Mexico.

New York‘s main contract, light sweet crude for October, shed 12 cents from Thursday to close at US$96.15 a barrel.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in October dived US$1.42 to settle at US$113.59 a barrel.

Rich Ilczyszyn, an analyst at iiTrader, said that New York market sentiment was tense throughout the session and in the last half-hour traders shuffled their portfolios before the weekend.

Weighing on the market was a report by the Petroleum Economist that Western consumer countries could release strategic oil stocks as soon as early September in response to soaring oil prices, citing “several sources.”

“The loss of supplies from sanctions-hit Iran will be used to justify the move, which could unleash as much or more oil as last year’s 60 million barrel stock releases,” the London-based industry journal said on its website.

One of the sources said the International Energy Agency asked the United States not to proceed alone with a release, but to wait for IEA-wide participation to avoid undermining IEA credibility.

Gulf of Mexico operators were bracing as Tropical Storm Isaac headed toward Haiti and was on track to threaten oil and gas offshore operations.

BP said it was evacuating its Thunder Horse platform, the world’s largest offshore production and drilling facility.

“With forecasts indicating the storm could develop into a hurricane and enter the eastern side of the Gulf in coming days, we are taking additional steps to respond,” the British oil giant said.

Shell said it was preparing for evacuations of non-essential personnel from platforms and had suspended some drilling operations but that no production had been impacted.

News Oil

Oil prices fall on Europe’s woes

July 25, 2012 jrobinson

The price of oil is dropping on fresh concerns about Europe‘s economy.

Benchmark oil fell US$1.44 on Friday to US$91.53 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, which is used to price international varieties of crude, was down US$1.42 to US$106.38 in London. A decline would be the first after seven straight gains.

The main focus for traders was Spain, where the government predicted that the country’s recession will extend into next year and the region of Valencia said it needed help from the central government to pay its bills. But Germany was also a concern as finance officials there said growth in Europe’s strongest economy likely slowed somewhat in the second quarter. Meanwhile, in the UK, the government said it had to borrow more than expected last month.

Europe’s lengthy battle with a massive government debt crisis has affected industries in other countries, such as the U.S., that do business there. It also has cut demand for oil and other energy products.

Oil had risen about 10 per cent since July 10 on concerns that renewed tensions between the West and Iran could result in a disruption of oil supplies from the Persian Gulf.

“After the long run-up in prices we’ve had the last 10 days or so, I think (events in Europe) kind of reminded people that the demand picture is still not very rosy,” said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research.

Meanwhile, natural gas prices hit the highest level since early January as businesses and consumers cranked up air conditioning systems to stay cool in the hot weather. Natural gas rose three cents to US$3.01 per 1,000 cubic feet.

The price of natural gas fell below US$2 for the first time in more than a decade in April after a production boom boosted inventories. At the same time, a mild winter kept demand in check. The cheaper prices prompted many utilities to switch to natural gas from coal to fuel their generators.

In other energy trading, heating oil fell 3 cents to US$2.91 per gallon and wholesale gasoline prices fell 3 cents to US$2.91 per gallon.

News Oil

Oil Prices Fall On Global Economic Concerns

June 12, 2012 jrobinson

Oil fell Monday on the realisation that a short-term fix in Spain won’t offer a long-term solution to Europe’s debt crisis.

A multibillion-dollar bailout loan for Spain’s banks generated initial enthusiasm in the global stock, bond and energy markets. But by the close in New York, the good feeling had given way to scepticism.

Benchmark oil fell $1.40 to $82.70 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, which is used to price international varieties of oil, dropped 81 cents to $98.66 per barrel in London. The broad S&P 500 stock index fell nearly one per cent.

Leaders of European countries agreed over the weekend to lend Spain up to $125 billion to help its troubled banking system. Spain is the fourth European country after Greece, Portugal and Ireland to request financial help since the debt crisis began.

Oil jumped above $86 per barrel in trading in Asia. But the relief was temporary, replaced by concern over Spain’s ability to repay the money. The potential for Greece to abandon the European currency still hangs over the market, as does a deepening recession in Italy. That turmoil, as well as slowing economic growth in China and the United States (US), is reducing demand for oil, gasolene and diesel fuel.

It’s not yet clear whether Europe’s ongoing efforts to put the financial crisis to rest will result in an economic turnaround. “It just doesn’t seem like that’s very close,” said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research.

Meanwhile, oil supplies continue to build despite ongoing weak demand around the world.

US oil production topped six million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2012, which was a 14-year high, according to the Energy Information Administration. Most of the increase was the result of more production in North Dakota, Texas and the Gulf of Mexico.

Oil’s decline was tempered by data showing China imported nearly six million barrels of crude a day in May. That was about 10 per cent more than April and 18 per cent more than a year earlier. China is a huge importer of oil and other commodities.

Meanwhile, motorists are continuing to see a steady decline in pump prices. The national average for gasolene fell less than a penny overnight to $3.54 per gallon, according to AAA, Wright Express and the Oil Price Information Service. That’s 19 cents less than a year ago. Gas has dropped 50 cents per gallon in a little more than two months.

Natural gas dropped 8.1 cents to $2.218 per 1,000 cubic feet. The price has plunged about 50 cents in three weeks as supplies remain well above normal levels.

In other trading, heating oil fell 3.64 cents to $2.638 per gallon and gasolene dropped 2.86 cent to $2.657 per gallon.

– AP

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20120612/business/business2.html

News Oil

Oil Drops To US$91.66

May 24, 2012 jrobinson

Oil prices dropped near their lows for the year following warnings of a “severe recession” in Europe and an apparent easing of tensions over Iran’s nuclear program.

Benchmark US crude on Tuesday lost 91 cents to end the day at US$91.66 per barrel in New York while Brent crude fell by 40 cents to end at US$108.41 per barrel in London.

Both contracts hit a low for 2012 on Friday at US$91.48 and US$107.14, respectively.

Oil has declined almost every day this month as elections in Greece and France threatened existing plans to fix the eurozone economy. A top economist for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development warned Tuesday that the eurozone could fall into recession this year if leaders fail to stimulate the economy.

Stunt growth

If that happens, it would stunt growth in world oil demand at a time when supplies are expanding.

Fears of a protracted standoff with Iran had helped push benchmark crude near US$110 per barrel in February. Prices have since fallen below levels of early November, when the United Nations first warned of a potential nuclear threat from Iran.

Uninterrupted Iranian exports could boost world oil supplies to an average of 89.15 million barrels per day, according to the latest projections from the Energy Information Administration. That would be more than enough to meet world demand.

In other futures trading, natural gas added 9.8 cents, up 4 per cent, to finish at US$2.707 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Natural gas prices have jumped by 42 per cent since hitting a 10-year low on April 19 as supplies declined.

Heating oil and wholesale gasolene were both flat, ending the day at US$2.8614 and US$2.937 per gallon, respectively.

– AP

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20120523/business/business5.html

News Oil

Oil prices hold at lows

May 24, 2012 jrobinson

NEW YORK – The price of oil is holding near seven-month lows following warnings of a “severe recession” in Europe and easing tensions over Iran’s nuclear program.

continuing

Benchmark US crude lost 13 cents to US$92.44 per barrel in morning trading in New York while Brent crude added 27 cents to US$109.08 per barrel in London.

Oil prices have declined almost every day this month as political changes in Greece and France threatened existing plans to fix the eurozone economy. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development says Europe, which consumes 18 per cent of the world’s oil, could fall into recession this year if leaders fail to stimulate the economy

Meanwhile, analysts say Iran‘s oil exports could keep flowing if it lets international inspectors into its nuclear facilities as part of a new deal.

By early afternoon in Europe, benchmark oil for June delivery was down 44 cents to US$92.13 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose US$1.09 to settle at US$92.57 in New York on Monday.

In London, Brent crude for July delivery was up 14 cents at US$108.95 per barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Crude has slumped from US$106 earlier this month on fears that global economic growth might slow more than expected this year. In Europe, government austerity measures meant to lower debt have been crippling growth in many large economies like Italy and Spain.

Also hurting energy prices yesterday was a rise in the dollar, which tends to push down oil prices by making crude more expensive for investors trading in other currencies. The euro slipped to US$1.2758 from US$1.2793 late Monday in New York, while the dollar rose to 79.77 yen from 79.36 yen after Fitch lowered Japan’s sovereign debt rating.

Meanwhile, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Yukiya Amano, said Tuesday that Iran had agreed to let IAEA inspectors to resume their investigation into its nuclear program. On Wednesday, talks are set to start in Baghdad between Iran and six world powers about the country’s uranium enrichment efforts and its suspected intent to develop nuclear weapons. Prices had risen in previous months due to international tensions over Iran, which had threatened to block oil shipments out of the Persian Gulf.

News Oil

Oil surges to US$107

March 19, 2012 jrobinson

NEW YORK (AFP)

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