Dr Carlton Davis, head of the LNG steering committee.Ian Allen / Photographer
Dr Carlton Davis, head of the LNG steering committee.Ian Allen / Photographer

Lower energy prices up in the air!

The Government‘s long-announced plan to introduce liquefied natural gas (LNG) as one measure to reduce electricity rates remains in limbo with no clear indication, when, or if, this will take place.

The proposed 2014 timeline will not be met and the man leading the process, Dr Carlton Davis, is not committing himself to a new timeline.

“We will soon know the full truth,” Davis told a recent Gleaner Editors’ Forum as he noted that the State is now ready to start negotiations with Samsung, which has been selected to construct the LNG infrastructure locally.

“We have just about completed the process of looking at the price quotations of the liquefied gas and within another couple of weeks we will determine whether the whole thing makes senses and if it makes sense how fast we move on it,” said Davis.

Under the original plan supported by successive administrations, LNG would be added to the country’s fuel mix, replacing oil to sharply reduce the country’s energy bill while lowering the price of electricity to consumers.

The plan was made on the assumption that the Jamaica Public Service Company (JPS) would construct a new 360 megawatts power plant in Old Harbour Bay, St Catherine, by 2014.

The JPS has indicated that the plant should be up and running by 2014, but recent concerns from potential financial partners have left a cloud around that project.

The company is also yet to say if it will proceed with the building of the new plant if the Government fails to deliver LNG.

price discussion

Last Thursday, the Government’s technical team reviewed the proposals for the supply of the gas and this week, the LNG steering committee will meet to discuss the price of the gas before making a recommendation to the Cabinet.

“We have the quotations for the infrastructure, we have the quotations for the price of the LNG … there are financial security issues … all these put together will give us a pretty good idea of where we are, then we will meet (and make a decision),” Davis told the Editors’ Forum.

“Issues as to whether we are going to abandon that path wholly or partially will be determined. The real question is whether the JPS will find the price that (the LNG) comes out to at a sufficient comfort level … to give the public a price of electricity that is much lower than they currently pay,” added Davis.

If LNG can be sourced at an acceptable price, the JPS could reduce the fuel cost to its customers by approximately 40 per cent.

According to Davis, “Circumstances will dictate where we go from here. As I said, in just a matter of days we will know what sort of game is on, if a game is on in a certain direction.”

However, despite the price concerns which could derail the project, Davis did not comment on the Government’s decision to select Samsung as its preferred bidder to do the LNG infrastructure when its offer was higher than the bid entered by EXMAR.

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20120819/lead/lead3.html

THE EDITOR, Sir:

As a lifetime student of economics, I hasten to agree with Dr Carlton Davis that the size of the market for the consumption of electricity is too small for competition, and if there is going to be a second supplier, that supplier would have to satisfy the authorities of the viability of more than one supplier. What I think the public needs is the authorities to provide proper safeguards against injustice being meted out to it by any supplier.

I do not, however, agree that Dr Davis, as adviser to the Government, should have made his opinion public, while the relevant minister seems to think that competition is a perfect fit in this case, and perhaps in every case, and seems to forget all decisions must be in the best interest of the people.

In this case, it cannot be in the best interest of the people if because of competition, rivals become bankrupt and the people have no electricity.

Energy Minister Phillip Paulwell, we need some critical thinking here, for which you are well known. Mind you, I think you have always been a great minister, but you are wrong this time, because to err is human and so, you deserve forgiveness.

OWEN S. CROSBIE

oss@cwjamaica.com

Mandeville, Manchester

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20120818/letters/letters9.html